lafeber: george kennan (Default)
lafeber ([personal profile] lafeber) wrote 2023-03-27 03:20 am (UTC)

ISW сегодня немного ошибается.

Neither Ukraine nor the West has persuaded him that he must consider accepting any sort of off-ramp or compromise settlement. Putin instead remains focused on achieving his initial war aims through protracted conflict in which he wins either by imposing his will on Ukraine by force or by breaking Ukraine’s will following the West’s abandonment of Kyiv.

Компромисс устроил бы П. уже сейчас.


The outcomes of wars often are, in fact, determined on the battlefield with negotiations that merely ratify military realities. Putin likely has one such example vividly in his mind—World War II in Europe. That war ended only when Allied forces had completely defeated the German military and Soviet troops stood in the wreckage of Berlin.

В ВМВ военной реальностью было освобождение двух третей Восточной Германии силами американцев. А также западной Чехии. Но соглашения подразумевали вывод этих войск в западном направлении.


https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-26-2023

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